Været.orgLong-range forecastTønsberg

30-day forecast · Tønsberg

Days 1-14 are a real forecast from global weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on climate normals 1991-2020 (MET) — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.

30 days — Tønsberg

14 real + 16 synthesised
Mon · Today Clear
+19° +10° 4%
Tue · Tomorrow Clear
+18° +12° 0,4 mm
Wednesday 5/8 Showers
+19° +14° 2,3 mm
Thursday 6/8 Showers
+21° +14° 8,7 mm
Friday 7/8 Partly cloudy
+20° +13° 0,6 mm
Saturday 8/8 Partly cloudy
+18° +13° 10%
Sunday 9/8 Cloudy
+19° +13° 0,4 mm
Monday 10/8 Clear
+19° +13° 0,1 mm
Tuesday 11/8 Clear
+18° +13° 8%
Wednesday 12/8 Showers
+16° +13° 9,1 mm
Thursday 13/8 Showers
+14° +13° 13,5 mm
Friday 14/8 Showers
+17° +13° 4,3 mm
Saturday 15/8 Partly cloudy
+19° +14° 0,3 mm
Sunday 16/8 Partly cloudy
+19° +13° 13%
Monday 17/8 Rain (climate normal)
+22° +12° 11,3 mm
Tuesday 18/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+22° +13° 20%
Wednesday 19/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+24° +14° 20%
Thursday 20/8 Rain (climate normal)
+21° +12° 6,5 mm
Friday 21/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+20° +11° 20%
Saturday 22/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+17° +10° 20%
Sunday 23/8 Rain (climate normal)
+18° +10° 9,2 mm
Monday 24/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+21° +12° 20%
Tuesday 25/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+24° +14° 20%
Wednesday 26/8 Rain (climate normal)
+22° +12° 4,7 mm
Thursday 27/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+22° +13° 20%
Friday 28/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+21° +12° 20%
Saturday 29/8 Rain (climate normal)
+19° +11° 5,6 mm
Sunday 30/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+18° +10° 20%
Monday 31/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+19° +11° 20%
Tuesday 1/9 Rain (climate normal)
+16° +8° 10,8 mm

How does the long-range forecast work?

Days 1-14: Fetched live from global weather models (ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability about 85 % for days 1-3, about 60 % for days 7-10, about 45 % for days 11-14.

Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the monthly average Tmax/Tmin from climate normals 1991-2020, with mild weekly variation.

Use: «About how warm is it usually in Oslo the last week of July?» — a good question for days 15-30. «Will it rain on 27 May?» — no serious forecast can answer that.

Official weather data from MET Norway (Norwegian Meteorological Institute) · MET Norway · NILU · NVE · Open-Meteo
Updated: 16:07