Været.orgLong-range forecastOslo

30-day forecast · Oslo

Days 1-14 are a real forecast from global weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on climate normals 1991-2020 (MET) — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.

30 days — Oslo

14 real + 16 synthesised
Fri · Today Rain
+16° +10° 10,7 mm
Sat · Tomorrow Showers
+18° +10° 0,3 mm
Sunday 7/6 Partly cloudy
+20° +7° 6%
Monday 8/6 Partly cloudy
+21° +8° 6%
Tuesday 9/6 Rain
+20° +9° 8,2 mm
Wednesday 10/6 Showers
+18° +9° 1,0 mm
Thursday 11/6 Partly cloudy
+19° +5° 1%
Friday 12/6 Showers
+18° +10° 1,2 mm
Saturday 13/6 Showers
+19° +9° 1,1 mm
Sunday 14/6 Showers
+15° +7° 2,1 mm
Monday 15/6 Showers
+21° +10° 0,7 mm
Tuesday 16/6 Partly cloudy
+20° +8° 3%
Wednesday 17/6 Partly cloudy
+15° +7° 6%
Thursday 18/6 Showers
+21° +10° 4,1 mm
Friday 19/6 Rain (climate normal)
+19° +9° 4,1 mm
Saturday 20/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+22° +11° 20%
Sunday 21/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+24° +12° 20%
Monday 22/6 Rain (climate normal)
+22° +11° 7,4 mm
Tuesday 23/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+20° +10° 20%
Wednesday 24/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+19° +9° 20%
Thursday 25/6 Rain (climate normal)
+18° +9° 8,0 mm
Friday 26/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+21° +11° 20%
Saturday 27/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+23° +12° 20%
Sunday 28/6 Rain (climate normal)
+24° +12° 5,2 mm
Monday 29/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+22° +11° 20%
Tuesday 30/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+20° +10° 20%
Wednesday 1/7 Rain (climate normal)
+20° +11° 10,0 mm
Thursday 2/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+21° +11° 20%
Friday 3/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+23° +12° 20%
Saturday 4/7 Rain (climate normal)
+23° +12° 7,6 mm

How does the long-range forecast work?

Days 1-14: Fetched live from global weather models (ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability about 85 % for days 1-3, about 60 % for days 7-10, about 45 % for days 11-14.

Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the monthly average Tmax/Tmin from climate normals 1991-2020, with mild weekly variation.

Use: «About how warm is it usually in Oslo the last week of July?» — a good question for days 15-30. «Will it rain on 27 May?» — no serious forecast can answer that.

Official weather data from MET Norway (Norwegian Meteorological Institute) · MET Norway · NILU · NVE · Open-Meteo
Updated: 10:48