Været.orgLong-range forecastKristiansand

30-day forecast · Kristiansand

Days 1-14 are a real forecast from global weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on climate normals 1991-2020 (MET) — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.

30 days — Kristiansand

14 real + 16 synthesised
Tue · Today Clear
+19° +10° 0,4 mm
Wed · Tomorrow Showers
+19° +14° 4,2 mm
Thursday 6/8 Showers
+18° +12° 5,8 mm
Friday 7/8 Clear
+19° +12° 5%
Saturday 8/8 Partly cloudy
+19° +11° 0,2 mm
Sunday 9/8 Showers
+20° +13° 0,5 mm
Monday 10/8 Clear
+15° +12° 3,5 mm
Tuesday 11/8 Clear
+20° +13° 5%
Wednesday 12/8 Clear
+20° +10° 5%
Thursday 13/8 Clear
+21° +14° 6%
Friday 14/8 Partly cloudy
+21° +15° 1,5 mm
Saturday 15/8 Clear
+22° +13° 8%
Sunday 16/8 Clear
+21° +14° 10%
Monday 17/8 Partly cloudy
+21° +14° 10%
Tuesday 18/8 Rain (climate normal)
+20° +13° 14,6 mm
Wednesday 19/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+22° +14° 20%
Thursday 20/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+22° +14° 20%
Friday 21/8 Rain (climate normal)
+20° +13° 10,6 mm
Saturday 22/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+20° +13° 20%
Sunday 23/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+19° +12° 20%
Monday 24/8 Rain (climate normal)
+18° +12° 8,0 mm
Tuesday 25/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+21° +13° 20%
Wednesday 26/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+23° +15° 20%
Thursday 27/8 Rain (climate normal)
+23° +15° 16,8 mm
Friday 28/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+22° +14° 20%
Saturday 29/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+18° +12° 20%
Sunday 30/8 Rain (climate normal)
+17° +11° 15,5 mm
Monday 31/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+18° +12° 20%
Tuesday 1/9 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+16° +9° 20%
Wednesday 2/9 Rain (climate normal)
+17° +10° 10,1 mm

How does the long-range forecast work?

Days 1-14: Fetched live from global weather models (ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability about 85 % for days 1-3, about 60 % for days 7-10, about 45 % for days 11-14.

Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the monthly average Tmax/Tmin from climate normals 1991-2020, with mild weekly variation.

Use: «About how warm is it usually in Oslo the last week of July?» — a good question for days 15-30. «Will it rain on 27 May?» — no serious forecast can answer that.

Official weather data from MET Norway (Norwegian Meteorological Institute) · MET Norway · NILU · NVE · Open-Meteo
Updated: 18:38